Derek Carr, OAK vs. NE ($8,000): Even though this is listed as a Raiders home game it will be played in Mexico, making this a neutral field for both teams. The Patriots allow the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks, and Carr has had an extra week to prepare. This game boasts the biggest over/under of the week at 54.5, so taking players on both sides of the ball is a good idea. Carr has improved his play lately, throwing for at least 300 yards in each of his last three games.
Kenyan Drake, MIA vs. TB ($5,600): Because he was non-factor prior to the Jay Ajayi trade, Drake's price continues to be depressed despite a solid last two games. He scored 16.2 and 13.4 fantasy points in those two games, cumulatively out-producing teammate Damien Williams. While the team appears to be set on splitting touches, Drake could be in line for a bigger workload if he outplays Williams. Of the teams playing this weekend, the Buccaneers have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to running backs.
Jamaal Williams, GB vs. BAL ($5,600): Williams is set to handle a lot of touches this weekend with both Aaron Jones and Ty Montgomery expected to be inactive. After both were knocked out of last week's game, Williams was heavily leaned upon with 21 touches for 74 yards. While those aren't the greatest efficiency numbers the expected volume should atone for that. The Ravens have given up the second-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers this season but are middle of the pack against running backs. This suggests that the best game plan for the Packers is run the ball rather than have Brett Hundley air it out.
Bruce Ellington, HOU vs. ARI ($4,600): Trying to connect the dots in the Houston passing attack this week leads to Ellington for a couple reasons. It's likely Patrick Peterson, one of the top corners in the league, shadows DeAndre Hopkins most of the game, taking him out of consideration. No. 2 receiver Will Fuller is out with a rib injury. That leaves more work for Ellington, who enters the game with eight targets in his last two games, including three in the red zone. Arizona is actually a good target for wide receivers, having given up the ninth-most fantasy points to the position.
Jeremy Maclin, BAL at GB ($6,000): The bye week should have done the Ravens good as they got an extra week to heal up, including Maclin. The Packers' secondary has looked terrible the last month or so, giving up decent games to Josh Bellamy (12.7), Marvin Jones Jr. (26.2), Michael Thomas (11.7) and Adam Thielen (14.1) in its last four games. Just as strong of a case can be made for Mike Wallace, and a stack of Maclin/Wallace/Flacco is a nice under-the-radar GPP play.
Travis Kelce, KC at NYG ($7,500): It makes a ton of sense to pay up for Kelce considering his talent and matchup. He's on pace for about 900 receiving yards and eight touchdowns and has found the end zone in three consecutive games. The Giants haven't stopped anyone at the position all season, giving up a league-high 19.2 fantasy points per game to tight ends.
Wil Lutz, NO vs. WAS ($5,000): Lutz is tied for fifth in pricing, doesn't have to worry about the weather and averages more than 10 fantasy points per game. He has a nice floor as well, scoring seven fantasy points once and at least nine the other eight games.
Jacksonville Jaguars at CLE ($5,600): This appears to be the highest price for a defense this season, but it's probably worth paying up for Jacksonville. The Jaguars have been one of the best defenses in the NFL and its 13.9 fantasy points per game on defense leads the league. DeShone Kizer has been a turnover machine this season, and the expected inclement weather should help both defenses.