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NBA Draft Kit: Bouceback Candidates

Alex Rikleen

Rikleen writes the NBA column "Numbers Game," which decodes the math that underpins fantasy basketball. A certified math teacher, Rikleen decided the field of education pays too well, so he left it for writing. He is a Boston College graduate living in Delaware.

The fantasy preseason is dominated by discussion of “sleepers” and “busts”, with the occasional mention of potential “breakouts,” which often overlap with the sleepers discussion. But one of the best ways to build a fantasy juggernaut is to find the production we already know is possible, as long as we remember to look beyond the most recent season.

There are two primary categories when it comes to bounceback candidates: players recovering from injury, and players looking to rebound after a poor season.

At different points throughout his career, Rajon Rondo has exemplified both types. Rondo first broke out as a fantasy top-40 performer in 2009-10. From that season on, we knew of Rondo’s potential, though to this day it remains his best fantasy performance. While his production fell during each of the next two seasons, he was midway through his bounceback from poor performance campaign in 2012-13 before it was cut short by an ACL injury. Though he was sidel

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